defending champion Novak Djokovic improved his chances of winning the 2022 French Open after retaining his world No. 1 ranking and won the ATP 1000 Masters title in Rome last week. After that timely win, his first title of the 2022 ATP season, the Serb topped 13-time French Open champion Rafael Nadal on the tennis odds board, replacing his rival as short-odds favorites at the French Open tennis- futures markets.
However, the Serbian star is not alone at the top of this market. Rising teenage sensation Carlos Alcaraz has risen (in the past week) as a joint top favorite with Djokovic on multiple sports betting sites.
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The 19-year-old Spaniard has improved his chances dramatically after his meteoric rise into the top 10. He has won four ATP titles (two Masters), more than any other player on the ATP Tour, and he became the first player in history to beat both Nadal and Djokovic in the same clay court tournament this year (Madrid).
Alcaraz is definitely the future of tennis, the heir to the Big Three once they hang up their thugs. But he is also the player of the hour. The question is if he can live up to the hype and excitement at the Grand Slam level, where the Big Three have dominated for the past two decades.
French Open Odds – Top 25
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Opportunities: +220 at Bet365
Djokovic returned to full-time action early in the European clay-court swing last month, just in time to warm up his game for the 2022 French Open. Not only is Djokovic looking to defend his Paris title over the next fortnight, but he’s also trying to match long-time rival Rafael Nadal on 21 Grand Slam title wins.
The Serb’s success on clay, crowned by a title in Rome, propelled him to the top of the tennis betting markets. His game couldn’t have peaked at a better time. However, the draw at the French Open was not good for the world No. 1 as he falls in the same quarter as Nadal and in the same half as Alcaraz. This means that He is on a collision course with the two Spaniards before the final.
Opportunities: +225 at Caesars
Although Alcaraz emerges as a joint favorite at +220 with Djokovic at bet365, other sportsbooks such as Caesar’s and Pointsbet have the teenager at a slightly higher price of +225.
Alcaraz’s success this season has catapulted him to the top of this Grand Slam betting market, despite yet having won a title of this magnitude. He leads the ATP with four titles and victories over Nadal and Djokovic in Madrid en route to the title (d. Zverev) highlight his chances. In fact, Alcaraz has defeated every single player considered viable contenders to win the 2022 French Open, including Zverev and Stefanos Tsitsipas. He is 10-1 on clay his season, the only hiccup coming against Sebastian Korda in Monte-Carlo.
Opportunities: +440 on FanDuel
Nadal has seen his odds drift from +120 (at the start of the clay-court swing) to a high of +440 (on FanDuel) this week following the draw announcements. Question marks hang over the 13-time French Open champion as he comes into this year’s French Open with very few clay-court games. He missed the first month due to an injury (rib). He lost to Alcaraz in the quarterfinals of Madrid and then to Denis Shapovalov in the R16 in Rome. He also appeared to have sustained a foot injury.
More than anything, it seems to have impacted the veteran Spaniard’s chances the most to fall in the same quarter as Djokovic. Djokovic was Nadal’s kryptonite on the Grand Slam stage in recent years, including last year when he lost to Djokovic 6-3 3-6 6-7 2-6 in the semifinals.
Opportunities: +500 on FanDuel
Tsitsipas was one of the most consistent players on the red dirt for the last two seasons and yet he’s easily overlooked by the odds makers. Tsitsipas was second to Djokovic at the French Open last year. He also finished second behind the Serb in Rome last week. Early in the clay-court swing, the Greek won his second consecutive Monte Carlo Masters title, reaching the quarter-finals in Barcelona (left to Alcaraz) and the semi-finals in Madrid (left to Zverev). The only advantage Tsistipas has at this year’s French Open is the fact that he falls in the second half of the draw, thereby dodging Djokovic, Alcaraz and Nadal in the earlier rounds. He can only meet one of them in the final.
Opportunities: +2800 at DraftKings
Zverev had a solid swing on clay but he has fallen behind the mark in the latter stages of the tournaments. As such, Zverev enters the French Open as a bit Longshot tennis pick. Falling in the same quarter as Alcaraz pushed Zverev’s chances further. Zverev hardly registered a whimper when he lost to the Spaniard in the final of the Madrid Open.
Opportunities: +2800 on points bet
Ruud is a consistent competitor and a player to discover in Paris over the next two weeks. He finished second behind Alcaraz in Miami earlier this year and reached the semi-finals in Rome last week. The Norwegian competes in Geneva this week where he is ready to face Joao Sousa in the final. According to the oddsmakers, Ruud at +2800 is a bit of a longshot bet to win the French Open, but given that he falls in the second half of the draw it’s still a tempting bet to consider . He could be a value play in markets like reaching the quarter, semi-finals or finals.
Opportunities: +20000 at Bet365
Holger Rune is one of the newcomers to the block. The Dane is a promising youngster who could cause a stir in Paris next week. He won a title in Germany a few weeks ago, albeit with a delay. This week he reached the semifinals in Lyon. He’s the quintessential longshot bet to win the French Open, but when he falls in the second half of the draw, he could enjoy a deep run.