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Buy Signal in EURUSD 3-11-09

March 11th, 2009

After posting a series of higher lows over the past week, EURUSD closed above a 1-1/2 month bear trend line today to shift the short-term trend higher. The pair managed to hold above the Feb lows last week, after holding above the Oct-Nov ‘08 lows earlier this year, essentially giving us a double bottom on the second leg of a larger double bottom, which points to a potential short-covering rally. Long-term bears may be inclined to re-set shorts up around the 133 level, or on a close below the Oct ‘08 low.    

EURUSD closed above last week’s high today which also supports the buy signal on the daily chart.  A bearish seasonal for the U.S. Dollar lies just ahead in late March and early April.   

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