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Any investigation of the Jets comes with a reminder of the first rule of NFL betting: “Never Bet on the Jets”.
Even if you bet against the Jets, you will find a way to lose. That’s the way it is.
Gang Green begins its latest makeover this season with BYU rookie Zach Wilson as quarterback. Wilson was a consensus among the top 3 sports betting and betting sites prior to the draft. The jets grabbed him in second place.
Wilson is part of a revival in the AFC East that now has a pair of 22 year old (for now) QBs in Mac Jones of the Patriots and Wilson, 23 year old Tua Tagovailoa of the Dolphins and senior statesman Josh Allen of The Bills. He is 25. Jones will celebrate his 23rd birthday on Sunday. Wilson enjoyed a stress-free training camp, put up solid numbers (15 for 20 with 191 yards and two TD passes in 42 preseason snaps) and made few mistakes.
GET READY FOR THE SEASON: Week 1 NFL betting lines & analysis for all 16 games
What to Expect from Jets, Zach Wilson in 2021
As scary as that sounds, the Jets may have got it right with Wilson. They lost their chances of winning Trevor Lawrence with back-to-back wins against the Rams and Browns late last season. Few of the key players who celebrated Cleveland’s victory on December 27th are still on the team. Among the deceased: QB Sam Darnold (Carolina) and head coach Adam Gase (Lincoln High School, Ypsilanti, Michigan).
Unsurprisingly, there’s little love for the jets in the NFL futures markets this season.
According to odds makers for major betting apps, the Jets will continue their over 50-year championship drought in 2021. The jets are in the latest Super Bowl odds at +15,000. DraftKings has the Jets at +7500 to win the AFC and fourth choice at +2500 to win the AFC East behind Buffalo, Miami and New England.
Jets 2021 win overall and make playoff odds
The total prize money for the jets in 2021 is forecast to triple compared to 2020.
Quotas via FanDuel and DraftKings and are current at the time of publication. Check out our FanDuel Sportsbook and DraftKings Sportsbook Reviews.
The Jets are just outside the bottom third of the NFL when it comes to the strength of the schedule, ranking 19th based on their opponents combined win percentage in 2020. Outside of the division, their toughest street game will likely be in on October 24th Indianapolis and against Carson Wentz, who should be back by then.
If the Jets manage to win 2 or 3 games in the AFC East, they are in real danger of exceeding those overall wins. New head coach Robert Saleh brought in former 49ers assistant Mike LaFleur to lead the offensive. After using Wilson, the focus was on consolidating the offensive line. We like the jets go over 6 wins at +110 with DraftKings, but miss the playoffs. However, a season-long game at -700 with FanDuel makes little sense.
But remember, never bet on the jets.
Wilson NFL Offensive Rookie Of The Year odds
Much of the odds market for NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year was significantly shaken by news that Mac Jones had won the QB1 job against Cam Newton in New England. Wilson’s number, however, remained unchanged at DraftKings at +750. Here are the latest NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year odds:
Wilson gets a short leash and no real opportunity to make big games or big mistakes. The jets are in no hurry. They are geared towards the long term. Jones has an advantage here because he plays for Bill Belichick and Josh McDaniels. Here watch out Wilson who won Offensive Rookie of the Year Honors.
Support Zach Wilson 2021 Props and Futures
Let’s look at some of the props and futures now available for Wilson.
Zach Wilson Total 2021 Passing TDs, Yards
These numbers seem high for any newbie, especially one with an untested offensive and few proven options. Wilson has enormous potential. But there just aren’t enough ways to see how he hits any of those numbers.
His total TDs are achievable, but the over has no value. And his total yards are higher than Jones, Lamar Jackson, Daniel Jones, and Jalen Hurts. Even if we never bet on the jets take that down to 21.5 TDs at -115 at DraftKings and passed the sub at 3,850.5 yards for Wilson at -112 with FanDuel.
Zach Wilson dismantle ATS
Wilson made 28 career starts with BYU and accumulated 7,652 yards of passing and 56 TDs during his college career. In 2020 he completed 73.5% of his attempts. Stellar numbers that he won’t see in New York for a while.
At BYU, Wilson went 21:11 overall and 11-1 last season. He and the Cougars went 7-4-1 against the spread in 2020. Meanwhile, the Jets were 6-10 against the NFL spreads last season despite their 2-14 aggregate finish.
One last thing. Never bet on the jets.
NFL quarterbacks ATS
Long-suffering Jets fans who ignore our warnings can legally bet on Gang Green in New York and New Jersey. By the middle of the season, those in Connecticut should also be able to share in the misery.
This is the 32nd and final story in our series that examines all NFL starting quarterbacks against spread. You can see the other QBs here:
Tom Brady | Ben Röthlisberger | Patrick Mahomes | Dak Prescott | Aaron Rodgers | Lamar Jackson | Jared Goff | Kyler Murray | Carson Wentz | Josh Allen | Teddy Bridgewater | Drew Lock | Daniel Jones | Ryan Fitzpatrick | Ryan Tannehill | Derek Carr | Tua Tagovailoa | Trevor Lawrence | Matt Ryan | Sam Darnold | Joe Burrow | Baker Mayfield | Kirk Cousins | Justin Herbert | Matthew Stafford | Russell Wilson | Jimmy Garoppolo | Andy Dalton | Jameis Winston | Mac Jones | Jalen hurts | Tyrod Taylor