The 2021 NBA GM Poll has arrived on NBA.com. As usual, it presents a fascinating snapshot of how the top decision-makers see the current league landscape.
Here at TheLines, we look at everything from a weather perspective. We decided to compare the opinions of the NBA GMs with what the betting market is saying on some league topics. How do they differ from the market consensus? Should their opinions affect the way we see some of these markets?
Let’s take a look.
NBA GM poll agrees with chalk on the future of key teams
the Brooklyn Nets have established themselves as the clear favorite for the NBA title in 2022, according to most forecasters and the futures markets. That’s no surprise after an incredibly dominant playoff stretch ended in disappointment due to injury.
A potential fly in the ointment has arisen with Kyrie Irving unwilling to be vaccinated. Due to local mandates, he could miss more than half the season if he doesn’t stick to it. Nevertheless, odds makers remain unconcerned for the time being.
The GMs are fully in line with the market, 72% citing the Nets as possible champions. You have that too Lakers and dollar as the next most likely champions. The market has aligned there after some quotas originally published the warrior in front of the bucks. The potentially resurgent dubs – with Klay Thompson back in the fold – have fallen behind in the markets with a best price of something .
A similar story emerges when examining the Eastern Conference, except that the GMs differ in one aspect. While they agreed with the market on the top four teams – Nets, Bucks, heat, Six – the market prefers the Sixers to the Heat. The GMs turn in the other direction.
The Western Conference offers a wider open set of teams. The GMs agree that the Lakers are the favorites, but beyond that, they vehemently agree on two teams: the Warriors and the Clippers. The betting market remains much more optimistic with these teams while the GMs see them below the second tier of contenders.
NBA GM Poll Disagrees Something About Player Awards
Most valuable player
Many bettors like to fire futures on player awards like MVP and Rookie of the Year.
When it comes to MVP, the GMs have a clear disagreement with the betting market. They prefer the playoff supernova star Kevin Durant. However, the markets have Luka Doncic as the clear top dog. Durant took it to the next level last season when he almost single-handedly eliminated eventual Champion Bucks, and that seems to have stayed in the minds of the GMs.
The GMs also like James Harden’s odds, while the market favors a lot Stephen Curry.
Beginner of the year
The GMs like Houstons Jalen Green little more than Detroit’s Cade Cunningham rookie of the year. The market goes the other way, citing Cunningham as the easy favorite. Cunningham has a bigger stake in the offense, with Kevin Porter probably handle the ball a bunch for Houston.
However, the GMs got this to the point the year before when they correctly predicted LaMelo ball would win Anthony Edwards and James Wisemanboth of which were drafted before him.
Jalen Suggs from Orlando was the only other player to get votes and he’s actually third in the markets.
The question “Who is the best defensive player?” Is not exactly analogous to Defensive Player of the Year. After all, tall men have had a clear advantage in this award in the past due to the oversized team defense impact.
Still, it’s worth seeing who the GMs like as top defenders. He actually has pretty high odds compared to the three-time winner and market favorite Rudy Gobert. The GMs tab Giannis Antetokounmpo as the league’s greatest defensive threat.
This question isn’t a perfect port either, but GMs like it Years Jackson Jr. of Grizzly bears take a leap this season. Could that lead to a. to lead Mostly improved player forgive?
The market likes Jackson Jr. too, but has higher expectations of some other players, namely Michael Porter Jr., Kevin Porter Jr., and Shai Gilgeous-Alexander.
An interesting name to monitor: Zion Williamson. The 2021 NBA GM poll didn’t name him among the players expected to break out, but the leap from star to masterful superstar could be bigger than decent to great. If the pelicans jump into the race, he’ll be a hot name here.
The GMs, on the other hand, like it Anthony Edwards much more than the market.
More betting tidbits from the 2021 NBA GM survey
Top Dark Horse: Miami Heat
Could a team from outside the established top class compete? If so, the GMs overwhelmingly pointed to one team: that intense heat. They chose the heat as the best off-season play and the best single move in the new signing Kyle Lowry.
Here’s a look at a few Miami markets that you can get a part of if you agree:
Remember, the GMs labeled the Lakers as the best moves of the past off-season. You’ve bricked this up a great time.
Top breakout team: Chicago Bulls
According to the 2021 NBA GM Survey, look for the Chicago Bulls to take a jump. The Bulls shot away and brought in during a busy off season Lonzo ball and DeMar Derozan. They also acted for Nikola Vucevic last season. Best market prices among the Bulls:
Opinions of coaches in the 2021 NBA GM survey
Coaching is an area that even the brightest modelers find difficult to quantify. The GMs had some clear opinions here that bettors could use.
For example, they are mostly tabbed Rick Carlisle as the coach most likely to influence his new team Indiana. While the Pacers lack the top-end talent to compete for titles, Carlisle does a legendary job pocketing veterans to lead an efficient offensive. You might look good to exceed your total winnings by .
The 2021 NBA GM Survey also found that GMs made adjustments to the game by Carlisle and. want Tyronn Read of Clippers. These teams can be of value on in-game lines, especially if they are behind at half time.
Best NBA home seat advantage
After all, many teams are afraid to take to the streets to see them Nuggets. However, the GMs surprisingly preferred Utah quite a bit as the best home advantage. That adds up over the course of the season – Utah has an overall win of – and is something that you should consider in your daily disability.