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How Profitable is Leveraged Yield Farming on Solana? A Deep Dive with SolanaFM | by SolanaFM

Yield generation strategies continue to be profitable in bear markets as traders can now apply shorting and hedging, allowing them to still profit should the markets go south. For risk-seekers, some protocols within the ecosystem also offer Leveraged Yield Farming (LYF) which enables traders to borrow funds from the protocol to farm and generate even more yield. However, leveraged yield farming often appears to be a difficult concept to grasp due to the inherent risks involved such as impermanent losses and the possibility of liquidation. With the recent failures of crypto lenders like Voyager Digital or Celsius Network, many traders would shy away from leveraged strategies for the time being.

On that note, SolanaFM aims to demystify the complexities accompanying leveraged yield farming, as well as dive deeper into the profitability of leveraged yield farming strategies. In this report, we will explore a number of protocols within Solana offering leveraged yield farming and subsequently conduct a theoretical risk analysis of a few leverage farming strategies. Before that, a quick primer on how leveraged yield farming works.

How Does Leverage Yield Farming (LYF) Work?

Conventional Yield Farming

Leveraged Yield Farming

If the price of SOL remains unchanged, Trader Joe withdraws the position with the profit being almost 3 times of A.

If the price of SOL decreases, Trader Joe withdraws the position with the same profit (3 x A) — however, he risks losing more than what he earned due to the fall in price of SOL. The event where the dollar value of the withdrawal is lower than the dollar value of the deposit can be referred to as Impermanent Loss.

The leveraged position also comes with a liquidation price. If the price of SOL drops to a certain level, Trader Joe will be forced to close his position and return the protocol’s borrowed SOL, leaving him with close to nothing in return.

Currently, the largest pools in the protocol are the SOL-USDC (Raydium), RAY-USDC (Raydium) and GENE-USDC (Raydium) pools with $19.00M, $4.24M and $4.22M in TVL respectively (at the time of writing).

Leverage Farming Mechanism

Traders can borrow one of the two tokens up to the maximum leverage (3x) from the funds supplied into Tulip Protocol’s Lending Pool. Tulip Protocol then utilizes the Jupiter Aggregator to split the LP tokens evenly. The LP tokens are then deposited into the LP pools (supported by Raydium or Orca) to generate yield. Find out more about leverage farming on Tulip Protocol here.

Difference in APY for Raydium and Orca Pools. Source: Tulip Protocol

Based on the figure above, it is also important to note that though Raydium and Orca offer similar LP pools, the TVL of pools on both platforms differ greatly due to the differences in APY rewards.

The largest pools within Francium are currently the SOL-USDC (Raydium), SOL-USDC (Orca) and SOL-USDT (Raydium) pools with $10.49M, $7.41M and $5.69M in TVL respectively (at the time of writing).

Leverage Farming Mechanism

Currently, the biggest farms within Apricot Finance are the SOL-USDC (Raydium), SOL-USDT (Raydium) and SOL-USDC (Orca) pools with $3.38M, $286.9K and $202.1K in TVL respectively (at the time of writing).

Leverage Farming Mechanism

Apricot Finance Leverage Farming Mechanism. Source: Apricot Finance

In this case, X-Farm allows traders to gain access to yield without forcing them to sell and swap any principal assets. Find out more about leverage farming on Apricot Finance here.

Onto the main question — How profitable is Leveraged Yield Farming on Solana, and how risky are these positions?

In this section, we will conduct a theoretical analysis on the risks and rewards of Leveraged Yield Farming with the help of Tulip Protocol’s Leverage Farming Simulator. The analysis will visualise two scenarios; Long Farming (3x) and Short Farming (3x). Before we dive in, a brief description of the scenario.

In both scenarios, we will visualise a trader depositing 10,000 $USDC into the SOL-USDC (Raydium) pool, which will automatically be split into the corresponding amount of $SOL and $USDC based on the asset being borrowed. We will assume the price of SOL on deposit is $45 and the trader farms for a 30-day period. We will then compare how much the trader stands to gain or lose in each scenario compared to holding SOL in spot.

Case Study 1 – 3x Long Farming

In this case study, the trader deposits $10,000 USDC into a (3x) leveraged long farming position generating about 78.39% APY; this means they have conviction in upward price action in SOL. With this position, how will the trader’s yield be affected by directional movement?

According to the farming simulator, assuming the price of SOL remains unchanged, the trader can expect to earn a yield of 4.15%, or $414.74 over the span of 30 days.

When the price of SOL increases, the farm profit (Equity — Initial Deposit) increases above the hold profit (profit by holding SOL in spot).

To put this into perspective, the figure above shows the difference between 30-day farm profit ($3,339) and profit by holding SOL in spot ($2,000) when the price of SOL increases by 20% — we observe that the trader makes 66% more profit by leverage farming.

On the other hand, when the price of SOL decreases, the farm position may lose more value compared to holding SOL in spot.

The figure above shows the difference between 30-day farm profit ($3,339) and profit by holding SOL in spot ($2,000) when the price of SOL decreases by 20% — we observe that the trader loses 37.6% more by leverage farming.

Though the bullish case may see the trader earning a whopping additional 66% in profit, the simulator also expects the trader’s position to get liquidated when the price of SOL drops (by 39%) to $25. SOL almost reached these levels last month — any sharp fall in the price of SOL may pose a large risk for a trader with this position.

In this case study, we will explore the flipside. The trader deposits $10,000 USDC into a (3x) leveraged short farming position generating about 73.51% APY; this means they have conviction in downwards price action in SOL. In this case, how will the trader’s yield be affected by directional movement?

If the price of SOL remains unchanged, the trader can expect to earn a yield of 3.82%, or over $380 the span of 30 days.

Inverse to a long position, a short-farming position would benefit from a decrease in SOL price, where the farm profit (Equity — Initial Deposit) would increase above the hold profit.

To put this into perspective, the figure above shows that a 20% fall in the price of SOL at the end of 30 days will result in a 20% loss ($2,000) for the trader holding SOL in spot, while short farm position gives the trader a 12.7% profit of $1,270.

You might notice that the ‘farm profit’ looks slightly different on the figure above compared to the previous case study; As the price of SOL continues to drop, the farm profit peaks at around $20, and then proceeds to fall all the way back towards the ‘hold profit’ levels. This appears to be the case as traders are still holding one side of the LP token — if the price of SOL falls too low, the dollar value of the farm position will eventually fall below the value deposited into the position.

On the other hand, bullish action on SOL will pose a risk of losses, or even liquidation for the trader.

Based on the figure above, a 20% rise in the price of SOL at the end of 30 days will result in a 7% ($704) fall in value of the dollar of the farm position. The trader would have been better off holding SOL in spot and earning 20% ($2000) in yield. Additionally, if the current relief rally continues at its pace, the trader may get liquidated from their position if the price of SOL rises by 64% to $73.79.

Given the strong volatilities in token prices, it is reasonable to believe that traders will see yield farming as a capital efficient way to earn even more returns. For the other, the simulators built by farming protocols in Solana also prompt traders to familiarise themselves with the immense risks associated with leverage yield farming. Therefore, being able to visualise both high profits and losses could induce traders to think twice before setting the highest possible leverage.

In sum, leverage yield farming can be a potentially powerful strategy to generate more yield, if done properly. To mitigate risk, traders should always set the liquidation price as a guideline to protect themselves from incurring significant losses.

Appendix

Leverage Farming on Francium: https://docs.francium.io/product/what-is-leveraged-yield-farming-lyf

Tulip Protocol: https://tulip.garden/#home

Apricot Finance: https://app.apricot.one/

Apricot X-Farm — A Closer Look: https://apricotfinance.medium.com/x-farm-a-closer-look-48eb873ce17f

X-Farming on Apricot: https://docs.apricot.one/product/stable-farming

Tulip Protocol Lending Pool: https://tulip.garden/lend

Tulip Protocol Leverage Farms: https://tulip.garden/leverage

Tulip Protocol Leverage Farming Simulator: https://tulip-protocol.gitbook.io/tulip-protocol/leveraged-yield-farming/simulator

Jupiter Aggregator: https://jup.ag/

Raydium: https://raydium.io/

Orca: https://www.orca.so/

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