A closely followed crypto strategist and trader is warning bitcoin holders that BTC could witness a major capitulation event amid stock market weakness.
Pseudonymous trader Cantering Clark tells his 146,700 Twitter followers that Bitcoin could see a nearly 40% drop from current levels if the S&P 500 (SPX) continues its bearish trajectory.
“If the S&P 500 falls into the next major region between 3200-3400 [points]I think the correct assumption would be that crypto beta would be at least 2-3x that, which at least means bitcoin is retesting the bar of the node with the highest volume in the last five years – so around US$12k-US13k -Dollar.
I know people will be citing idiosyncratic strength lately, which has been remarkable, but once the SPX starts dragging down multi-sigma moves in a short space of time, all risk assets fall in sync.”
Source: Cantering Clark/Twitter
On Friday, the S&P 500 closed at 3,585.61 points, 1.39% below its previous 2022 low of 3,636 points, which was printed in June.
In the short-term, however, Cantering Clark says that bitcoin bulls could inspire some confidence if they manage to reclaim the $20,000 price area.
“If we can break these local highs, I think bitcoin will see some momentum build up.”
Source: Cantering Clark/Twitter
Pseudonymous analyst Jack also shares Cantering Clark’s outlook on BTC. According to Jack, Bitcoin is likely to develop bullish momentum if it surges above $20,000.
“I can be a bear all I want, but if that jumps over the creek, it’s a damn good setup for too long and a good reason to part with the narrative and play the technique instead.”
Source: Jack/Twitter
At the time of writing, Bitcoin is changing hands at $19,323, flat rate per day.
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