Another day, another rearrangement of the Super Bowl odds at the Las Vegas sportsbook.
For the fifth time in less than two weeks, the books adjusted their NFL futures markets Monday after the Colts acquired quarterback Matt Ryan from the Falcons.
“We’ve been building and tearing down teams in pro football across the board,” said Chuck Esposito, sportsbook director at Red Rock Resort. “I don’t remember moving that much. It’s crazy.”
The Super Bowl shuffle began March 8 when the Broncos acquired quarterback Russell Wilson from the Seahawks and QB Aaron Rodgers returned to the Packers, who emerged 7-1 co-favorites with the Bills at Circa Sports and the Westgate SuperBook, to win everything.
It continued on March 13 when Tom Brady announced he was coming out of retirement to return to the Buccaneers, who are now the clear 7-1 favorite at Circa and the SuperBook to win the Super Bowl.
After the Raiders took over wide receiver Davante Adams in a trade with the Packers on Thursday, Green Bay’s chances increased to 10:1.
The Raiders fell from 35-1 to 25-1 at Station Casinos and stayed at 60-1 in the SuperBook, which had lowered the Raiders from 80-1 after taking some bets on them before the Adams deal was announced .
Browns, Colts fall
There was another shake in Super Bowl odds on Friday after the Browns acquired quarterback Deshaun Watson from the Texans.
The Browns were 60-1 in the SuperBook when Watson reportedly turned them down. But the book dropped Cleveland’s odds to 18-1 after the trade.
The SuperBook had no plans to adjust the Colts’ odds Monday after they landed Ryan. However, that came after a bettor wagered $5,400 to win $81,000 on Indianapolis to win the AFC at odds of 15-1.
The book lowered the Colts from 30-1 to 25-1 to win the Super Bowl and from 15-1 to 12-1 to win the conference. It took the Patriots from 30-1 to 40-1 to win the Super Bowl.
“It’s changing every second,” said Ed Salmons, SuperBook’s vice president of risk. “When one team goes down, someone else has to get back up.”
AFC loaded
Led by the Bills and Chiefs 8-1, there are now nine teams in the AFC with odds of 25-1 or less to win the Super Bowl.
“It’s just an amazing number,” Salmons said. “It’s just ridiculous how many good teams there are in the AFC.”
The Bills and Chiefs are 4-1 favorites to win the AFC, followed by the Browns and Chargers 9-1, the Broncos and Bengals 10-1, and the Colts, Titans and Ravens 12-1. The Patriots are 20-1 and the Raiders are 30-1.
Salmons said that of all the recent moves, the Browns have been the biggest winners.
“It’s not even close to Deshaun Watson getting to play football from day one. He’s a top-five quarterback,” he said. “Before the dust settles, Cleveland could be the favorite to win the AFC. You have so much talent now. The big joker right now is his suspension.”
NFL MVP
Eight of the top 13 SuperBook MVP favorites are AFC quarterbacks. Patrick Mahomes and Josh Allen are the 7-1 favorites, followed by Brady at 8-1 and Rodgers, Joe Burrow and Justin Herbert at 10-1.
Wilson and Watson are 16-1 with Kyler Murray, Matthew Stafford and Dak Prescott. Lamar Jackson is 20-1 and Derek Carr is 40-1.
Contact reporter Todd Dewey at [email protected] Follow @tdewey33 on Twitter.
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