Future Men's and Women's College Basketball Championships to Consider in the T Shoe Index as of December 8 – Exclusive VSiN News – News

Men's and Women's CBB Futures Bets to Consider in the T Shoe Index

It's the first week of December. Some teams have barely played a handful of games, but what's stopping us from seeing how these early trends translate to some future bets? As I mentioned in my introductory college basketball post, my TSI ratings are 100% on-field data from this season; That means there are no recruiting rankings or “program status” increases in the ratings. This is exclusively opponent-adjusted basketball data.

The other note to mention here is that unlike my football predictions, I do not do season-long predictions for basketball as the time constraints require it for over 300 teams, so no bets will be made by me on the win total, but the performance ratings of Game by game should give us enough analytical perspective to make informed bets. The numbers were good to start with as my men's basketball bets were a respectable 14-12 so far, while the women's bets were doing well from the start at 19-5.

With these factors in mind, let's take a look at where my performance ratings suggest we might find some value in the current futures markets.

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Men's Championship Futures

Admittedly, I don't play much futures in any sport because there's less science and I'm a compulsively precise guy; However, when I'm considering futures bets for my portfolio, I'm much more inclined to make a few total bets that I can spend a few bucks on but won't necessarily set my money on fire. That being said, the first team that jumps out to me on the men's side is this BYU Cougars.

Even though their average opponent strength is below average, their performances in these games in the first week of December put them at the top of my stats. You can currently get the Cougs at +6000 on DraftKings to win the title, and while I don't expect them to be my top power-rated team at the end of the season, I don't think they're the best team either, but The initial performance rating is at least an indication that this is a team to keep an eye on and worth nibbling on for a long-term title bet.

This is another interesting team for me Houston Cougars, currently with odds of +1600 to win the title. Apparently I'm #TeamCougars now? Houston has my highest-rated defense to date and is my No. 4 best overall performance rating team. That's a good enough recipe to consider them as a net-cutter in April.

Women's Championship Futures

Women's basketball tends to be a little more chalky than men's basketball, as talent is often consolidated among the top few programs in the country. Therefore, in a future bet on the women's championship, I'm more open to the idea of ​​betting on a more obvious contender rather than the longshots we can optimistically consider for men's basketball. I'll be honest, South Carolina is head and shoulders above the rest in terms of performance rating so far this season. In fact, her current rating of +51 would be the best I've seen since the late 2000s (that's as far back as I have women's ratings at the moment) if she stays that way, although I don't expect her to be *that* are. dominant for an entire season; But who am I to question Dawn Staley's height?

The problem is that SC is currently the +400 favorite, so I'm going to pass on them now in the hope that they make a mistake along the way and we can get around +750 from them.

An interesting team with a realistic chance of competing with the elite UCLAwho I currently rate 5th overall, and they have the 6th best chance of winning the title at +1400.

Another team worth mentioning is here Texas. The Longhorns are currently No. 2 in my power rating, but have only the 10th-best odds to win the championship at +2000, so that's probably as far-fetched as I'm willing to go on the women's side of the hardwood.

Betting:

BYU +6000 (men) Houston +1600 (men) UCLA +1400 (women) Texas +2000 (women)