Commercial content, 21+
In normal times, football bettors would have already witnessed the World Cup final.
However, moving this year’s tournament to Qatar means bettors will have to wait just over four months for the start of the 2022 FIFA World Cup in Qatar. On the bright side, this extra time gives us bettors more time to evaluate the various futures markets available for the quadrennial spectacle.
Today we will focus on Team USA – drawn in Group B with England, Wales and Iran – and how we will approach their bids going forward.
Claim a risk-free first bet up to $1,000
New customers only. Must be 21+. AZ, CO, IA, IL, IN, LA, MI, NJ, NY, PA, TN, VA, WV, WY only. Full T&Cs apply.
Up to $1500 risk-free first bet
Only for new users aged 21+. NY, CO, DC, IA, IN, IL, MI, NV, NJ, PA, TN, VA, WV only. Full T&Cs apply.
Wager $50 and get $200 in free bets
21+. New customers only. NY, AZ, CO, CT, IA, IL, IN, MI, NJ, PA, TN, VA, WV only. The terms and conditions apply
100% First Deposit Match up to $250 with promo code NYPBONUS
New players only, 21+. NY, NJ, MI, AZ, VA only. In order to take part in this promotion, the player must make an initial deposit (minimum $10). Full T&Cs apply.
$1000 No Sweat First Bet
21+. New customers only. AZ, CT, IA, IL, LA, MI, NJ, NY, PA, TN, WV, WY only. The terms and conditions apply
Wager $20, get $100 in free bets
21+. New customers only. CO & VA only. The terms and conditions apply.
Risk Free Bet up to $1000 + a free month of Fubo TV
Only for new users aged 21+. Only available in IA, AZ. Full T&Cs apply.
Bet $1 Get $200 in betting credits with NYP365
21+. New customers only. NJ only. Full T&Cs apply.
Wager $20, get $100 in free bets
21+; Only for new customers. NJ &; PA only. Full T&Cs apply.
Get a $250 First Deposit Match
21+, only for new customers. NJ and CT only. Full T&Cs apply.
100% deposit match up to $500
New users only, 21+. Offer only available in CO. Full T&Cs apply.
As it stands, here are the likely scenarios for the United States. All odds are provided courtesy of Fanduel Sportsbook and are conflicting at the time of writing.
| US World Cup result | opportunities |
|---|---|
| Rise from Group B | +110 |
| to win Group B | +650 |
| To reach the quarterfinals | +470 |
| To reach the semifinals | +1600 |
| Reach the final | +4200 |
| runner up | +6500 |
| to win the 2022 World Cup | +11000 |
The odds are as of July 18, 2022, 5:00 PM ET
Team USA World Cup Odds and Predictions – 2022 FIFA World Cup
Those assessing America’s chances in Qatar will recall that they failed to qualify for the last World Cup in Russia.
However, the team’s results in the previous tournament make me a little optimistic about their prospects in Qatar. In South Africa 2010 and Brazil 2014, the USA reached the knockout stages before being eliminated by Ghana and Belgium respectively.
Also, last time out at the World Cup, the USA were able to navigate what I felt was a much more complex group. That group was of course the USA, Germany, Portugal and Ghana. Although this year’s squad is almost completely different from 2014, there is still plenty of talent.
The USMNT was placed in Group B in the World Cup draw.AFP via Getty Images
Undoubtedly the strength of this group lies in attack and midfield, carried by Christian Pulisic (Chelsea), Tyler Adams (Leeds United) and Weston McKennie (Juventus). Also, USA were 3-2-1 (WLD) against other CONCACAF qualifiers in six games and could see some positive regression from those encounters.
Despite ending those six games with a goal difference of -1, USA had a +3 lead on big scoring chances, according to fotmob.com. Perhaps most impressively, USA drew 1-0-1 (WLD) against Mexico in two games, winning both games by a combined 5-2 advantage on scoring chances.
If the USA bring that level of quality to the group stage, I can easily imagine it coming through. England are still in the league of Group B and should have no problem winning the group – some might be alarmed by a 4-0 Nations League defeat by Hungary, but it wasn’t a full-strength squad.
Betting on sports?
If the US can steal a point from England in their neck-and-neck race – the US in particular have won 1-0-1 (WLD) against the Brits in their last two World Cup encounters – and win all three points against Iran then that puts the US in a great position to move forward.
I also suspect Wales could see some struggles. A mid-season World Cup could impact their older stars (Gareth Bale and Aaron Ramsey) and I’m not high on anyone else’s list.
Wales celebrate reaching the World Cup.Getty Images
For this reason I like to go into it United States qualify for Group B (+110). I personally think it’s a coin toss if manager Gregg Berhalter’s side progress, so I see a slight implied probability advantage.
However, I have a hard time imagining the USA running any lower than the round of 16. I’m pretty high up in Group A against both the Netherlands and Senegal, so no matter where USA end up, it’s going to be a tough fight to reach the quarterfinals.
Despite a disappointing Euro exit last year, the Netherlands are still unbeaten (W3-U1) since June 1, while Senegal are on a run to the Africa Cup of Nations final.
For that reason I will avoid everything beyond the round of 16.
Comments are closed.