The Toronto Blue Jays start what will hopefully be another promising season on March 30th.
Despite playing in what appears to be baseball’s toughest division, the Jays are favored to make the playoffs and compete as one of the top 10 contenders in the World Series.
Check out our Blue Jays futures odds and favorite bets for the upcoming season.
Futures odds for Blue Jays
Swapping Ross Stripling for Chris Bassitt looks like an obvious improvement in the Blue Jays’ rotation. Replacing Teoscar Hernandez and Lourdes Gurriel Jr. with Daulton Varsho/Brandon Belt in the lineup is a lot less of a slam dunk.
Nonetheless, this Blue Jays roster is expected to surpass the 90 mark for a third straight season – something that hasn’t happened since the early 1990s.
In the following sections, we will outline several Blue Jays futures markets and highlight analysis and choices for some.
Blue Jays Futures: Team Markets
| market | opportunities |
| Win the World Series | +1,540 |
| Win the American League | +600 |
| Win the American League East | +270 |
| Make the playoffs | Yes (-315), No (+220) |
| Total wins (92.5) | Over (-112), Under (-114) |
| Get the most home runs | +800 |
| Record the best regular season record | +1,200 |
MLB odds as of 4:30 p.m. on 3/22/2023.
The Blue Jays took a small step forward from 2021-2022, winning 92 games (one out of 21) and earning a postseason berth. If you’re expecting further improvement this year, 93 wins or more seems reasonable – even if competition within divisions remains fierce.
Choice: Over 92.5 wins (-112)
It would certainly be a shock to see Toronto miss out on the playoffs…especially if you’re optimistic the team will rack up 93-plus wins.
Therefore, the Blue Jays’ chances of reaching the playoffs are severely limited. On the plus side, you can at least argue that they’re adequately juiced.
At -315, Toronto’s playoff odds align perfectly with Baseball Prospectus’ (75.9%) PECOTA predictions.
Tip: Blue Jays make the playoffs (-315)
For a higher odds game, look to the Blue Jays to lead the majors on home runs.
Toronto ranks third in major homers for the past two seasons (462), and its roster includes six players who have had at least one 25-homer campaign.
With the bottom wall of the Roger Center in midfield and shorter porches left and right in midfield, we’ve seen an increase in long balls this year.
Choice: Blue Jays leads MLB in home runs (+800)
player markets
| market | opportunities |
| Guerrero wins MVP | +1,400 |
| Guerrero leads MLB in home runs | +800 |
| Bichette leads MLB in hits | +1,100 |
| Manoah wins Cy Young | +1,430 |
| Bichette hits (172.5) | Over (-113), Under (-113) |
| Bichette RBIs (91.5) | Over (+100), Under (-127) |
| Springer home runs (28.5) | Over (+100), Under (-127) |
| Guerrero hits (170.5) | Over (-113), Under (-113) |
| Guerrero home runs (37.5) | Over (-106), Under (-121) |
| Warrior RBIs (97.5) | Over (-113), Under (-113) |
| Manoah wins (12.5) | Over (-125), Under (-103) |
For a player as enduring and effective as Bo Bichette, an over/under prop of 172.5 seems too low.
The free-swinging shortstop has led the league in that category for consecutive seasons, topping that line by 17 or more hits both times.
Tip: Bichette over 172.5 hits (-113)
Winning stats for pitchers aren’t entirely predictable, but it’s safe to say that Alek Manoah deserves plenty of credit for the 16 wins he racked up last year.
Manoah threw 25 quality starts (more than six innings with three or fewer earned runs allowed) in his 31 outings, averaging 6.1 innings per start.
FanGraphs’ ZiPS projects a 13-win campaign for Manoah.
Tip: Manoah over 12.5 wins (-125)
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. took a statistical step back in 2022 after nearly winning MVP the year before. Despite dropping his OPS by nearly 200 points, Guerrero managed to drive in 97 heats (T-15 in MLB).
He’ll have plenty of talent around again, and ZiPS is projecting 106 RBIs from the first baseman, so we like the over on his line.
Tip: Guerrero over 97.5 RBIs (-113)
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Jordan Horrobin writes about sports betting for NorthStar Bets. NorthStar Bets is owned by NordStar Capital, which also owns Torstar, Star’s parent company. Follow him on Twitter: @JordanHorrobin
Disclaimer This content was created as part of a partnership and as such may not meet the standards of impartial or independent journalism.
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